April 29, 2010

Derby Works - Where are my blowouts?

Hi everyone -- first off the lack of posts is killing me.  I have been unavoidably detained with my final two weeks of graduate school -- they really piled it on.  Also I would like to give a shout out to the NTRA who is now following me on Twitter -- awesome and keep up your good work for the sport. Okay now that we know the post positions which I will focus in another edition, lets dig deep into the works of the 20 horses who will be running for the 136th blanket of roses.  From past experience I do like to see a blowout here in the final prep before the big dance.

1 - Lookin At Lucky (Monday 4/26 Muddy 5f 1:00.4 Breezing 1/26)   Give no reason not to like -- understandably the favorite
2 - Ice Box (Friday 4/23 Sloppy 4f :46.2 1/28) Showed some speed at the end which is what he'll need to do in the Derby -- deep closer (interesting)
3 - Noble's Promise (Monday 4/26 Muddy 4f :48.4 7/45) Last work is what got him in as trainer hinged decision on this work -- he's in despite recovering from a lung ailment.
4 - Super Saver (Saturday 4/24 Sloppy 4f :48.4 6/26) Local knowledge both with horse and jock.  Close to the rail for Bo"rail"
5 - Line of David (Monday 4/26 Muddy 6f 1:15 3/3) Disliked the slop - tough stretch  run -- could be early speed
6 - Stately Victor (Friday 4/23 CD Trackside Training Center Sloppy 5f 1:00.3 1/13) Did not prep at CD solid effort here
7 - American Lion (Monday 4/26 Muddy 5f 1:02.3 11/26) Been very smooth in the mornings, very uninspiring final work
8 - Dean's Kitten (Friday 4/23 Trackside Training Center Sloppy 5f 1:01.1 7/13) Turf Specialist -- why is he running here?  Poor Setzuko.
9 - Make Music For Me (Sunday 4/25 Good 5f 1:02.2 11/20) Lackluster works -- last to get in to Derby on earnings
10 - Paddy O'Prado (Friday 4/23 Sloppy 5f :58.2 1/21) This is a blowout I look for in a prep.He galloped out 6f in 1:11.06 and 7/8s in 1:25.62 on a sloppy track -- could be huge value!!!!
11 - Devil May Care (Saturday 4/24 Sloppy 5f 1:00.1 2/20) Welcome Miss!  Wore blinker (her hat essentially) and had an impressive final tune up with a strong gallop out.  Blinkers to the rescue??
12 - Conveyance (Tuesday 4/27 Muddy 5f :59.1 1/9) Another blowout and in the mud! Reminiscent of Hard Spun to me.
13 - Jackson Bend (Thursday 4/22 Fast 5f 1:00 1/20) Showed signs of drifting and likes confrontation albeit with his rider -- hmmm
14 - Mission Impazable ( Saturday 4/24 Sloppy 5f 1:00.1 2/20) Looked solid all week with high energy -- is he laying in the weeds before his coming out party?
15 - Discreetly Mine (Satruday 4/24 Sloppy 5f 1:00.2 4/20) Solid effort here but the horse seems to be lacking in other areas
16 - Awesome Act (Tuesday 4/27 Muddy 4f :48.1 2/24) Had trouble pacing stablemate in tune up.  Could be over rated but will get some looks.
17 - Dublin (Sunday 4/25 Muddy 5f 1:02.4 13/20) Fought rider throughout prep - choppy  stride.
18 - Backtalk (Sunday 4/25 KEENELAND Fast 5f 1:01.3 5/12) Simply not impressed
19 - Homeboykris (Wednesday 4/28 Good 4f :48.2 2/17) Nonchalant works and winless as a 3 YO -- why are you here again -- Poor Setzuko.
20 - Sidney's Candy (Saturday 4/24 Sloppy 6f 1:11.3 1/3) Prepped of stablemate which is not the normal place for this colt.  Sign he won't take the lead like prior races with all this speed? Did not have a gallop out after prep.

Feeling like the NFL Network going over the combine -- Wonderlic anyone?  Some notable blowouts which piqued my interest a bit.  Next step Pedigrees which then will lead up to the final analysis and selection.  It will be a busy evening and Friday for me. 



See you in the Winner's Circle. Riders Up!

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